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Macapa vs Santos AP

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos AP in this Campeonato Amapaense 2018 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Macapa
20%
Draws
63%
Santos AP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Macapa haven't matched Santos AP's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Santos AP taking it.
  • Santos AP arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Santos AP have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Macapa Clean Sheet 12%
Santos AP Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macapa Santos AP
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Macapa
5:0
Mar 27, 2024 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Macapa
1:3
Jun 4, 2023 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Macapa
4:1
May 13, 2022 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Macapa
2:0
Aug 5, 2021 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Macapa
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macapa 10 / 100
Santos AP 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macapa Santos AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Macapa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Santos AP has conceded goals in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Macapa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macapa VS Santos AP
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macapa

(Home)
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
06 Mar
Oratorio
3 : 0
Macapa
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
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Santos AP

(Away)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2
Santos AP
21 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Oratorio
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
08 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Trem
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Trem 0
Ypiranga AP 3
Macapa 1
Santos AP 3
Final
Ypiranga AP 2
Santos AP 1