Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Bellavista, Ambato

Macara

0 - 0

Alianza Atl.

Our Tip

Match Events

Suarez R.

44'

Marrufo J.

45'

Espinoza T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Macara

15%

Draws

49%

Alianza Atl.

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Macara have managed 1.34 goals a game lately — Alianza Atl. are scoring more at 1.45.
49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Macara Clean Sheet 13%

Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Macara	Alianza Atl.
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	14	14
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.34	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Macara vs Alianza Atl.

0:0

May 1, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Alianza Atl. vs Macara

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 31 / 100

Alianza Atl. 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Macara Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alianza Atl. conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Macara found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Macara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Alianza Atl.

1.5 Goals Scored 2.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)

13 Sept

Macara

1 : 0

Emelec

05 Sept

Independiente del Valle

3 : 1

Macara

02 Sept

Macara

4 : 3

Manta

30 Aug

Orense

1 : 2

Macara

25 Aug

Libertad

1 : 0

Macara

Page 1 of 6

Alianza Atl.

(Away)

18 Sept

Alianza Atl.

2 : 1

Comerciantes Unidos

13 Sept

Atletico Grau

3 : 1

Alianza Atl.

04 Sept

Alianza Atl.

3 : 2

Cajamarca

30 Aug

Moquegua

1 : 4

Alianza Atl.

25 Aug

Alianza Atl.

2 : 1

Cajamarca

Page 1 of 7