Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Macarthur FC vs Bangkok Utd

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Al Ghassani M.
Assist: Autra P.
33' Event
Al Ghassani M.
Assist: Autra P.
40'
Sub
Randazzo O. In: Sawyer H.
Out: Randazzo O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Macarthur FC
6%
Draws
4%
Bangkok Utd
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Macarthur FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Macarthur FC haven't matched Bangkok Utd's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Macarthur FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bangkok Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 17%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur FC Bangkok Utd
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.14 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.14 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Macarthur FC vs Bangkok Utd
2:2
Feb 12, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Bangkok Utd vs Macarthur FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sawyer H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghassani M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur FC 84 / 100
Bangkok Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur FC Bangkok Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Bangkok Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Macarthur FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur FC VS Bangkok Utd
2.14 Goals Scored 0.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur FC

(Home)
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3
Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
02 Apr
Macarthur FC
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 6

Bangkok Utd

(Away)
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0
Bangkok Utd
22 Apr
Svay Rieng
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Zawraa5
Al Wasl6
Arkadag0
Al Nassr2
Sepahan2
Al Ahli3
Esteghlal TEH2
Al Hussein4
Pohang2
Gamba Osaka3
Ratchaburi3
Persib Bandung1
Bangkok Utd4
Macarthur FC2
Cong An Ha Noi1
Tampines6
Quarter-finals
Al Wasl0
Al Nassr4
Al Ahli3
Al Hussein1
Gamba Osaka3
Ratchaburi2
Bangkok Utd4
Tampines3
Semi-finals
Al Nassr5
Al Ahli1
Gamba Osaka3
Bangkok Utd1
Final
Al Nassr0
Gamba Osaka1