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Macarthur Rams vs Central Coast U23

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Yelchan C.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Central Coast U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Macarthur Rams
15%
Draws
34%
Central Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macarthur Rams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Macarthur Rams carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Macarthur Rams are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 20%
Central Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Central Coast U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Central Coast U23
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 NSW League One
Central Coast U23 vs Macarthur Rams
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Yelchan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Central Coast U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 85 / 100
Central Coast U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Central Coast U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macarthur Rams Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur Rams found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Central Coast U23 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Central Coast U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Central Coast U23
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Central Coast U23

(Away)
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0
Central Coast U23
23 Aug
Central Coast U23
2 : 4
Western City Rangers
16 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
08 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
1 : 1
Central Coast U23
02 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 4
Inter Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)