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Macarthur Rams vs Central Coast U23

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Yelchan C.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Central Coast U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Macarthur Rams
6%
Draws
4%
Central Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Macarthur Rams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Macarthur Rams carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Macarthur Rams are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 20%
Central Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Central Coast U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Central Coast U23
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 NSW League One
Central Coast U23 vs Macarthur Rams
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Yelchan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Central Coast U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 85 / 100
Central Coast U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Central Coast U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Central Coast U23 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Macarthur Rams has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Central Coast U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Macarthur Rams's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Central Coast U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
17 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
10 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Bankstown City Lions FC
04 Jul
Macarthur Rams
3 : 2
Inter Lions
27 Jun
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Hakoah Sydney
20 Jun
Newcastle Jets U23
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Central Coast U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2
Northern Tigers
12 Jul
Central Coast U23
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
05 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2
Rydalmere Lions
27 Jun
Canterbury Bankstown FC
6 : 0
Central Coast U23
20 Jun
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Central Coast U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans24165360:3153
2Northern Tigers24137443:2246
3Bankstown City Lions FC24134745:3743
4Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
5Canterbury Bankstown FC24125757:3941
6Rydalmere Lions24107737:3437
7Hills United24106842:3936
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2479841:4030
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2324761140:4727
12Inter Lions24741329:4625
13Newcastle Jets U2324581145:5523
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Western City Rangers24541529:4819
16Prospect United242121023:4318
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)