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Macau U23 vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monte Carlo in this Elite League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Macau U23
15%
Draws
85%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monte Carlo lately — more wins on the board than Macau U23.
  • Monte Carlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Carlo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Macau U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macau U23 Monte Carlo
Matches Played 34 46
Wins 2 27
Draws 0 6
Losses 32 13
Goals Scored 0.74 3.04
Goals Conceded 4.47 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2019 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Macau U23
5:1
Feb 28, 2019 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Monte Carlo
1:3
May 19, 2017 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Macau U23
5:0
Jan 14, 2017 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Monte Carlo
1:4
Apr 25, 2015 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Monte Carlo
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macau U23 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macau U23 Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Monte Carlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 46 matches.

Macau U23 found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).

Monte Carlo's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Macau U23 VS Monte Carlo
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
4.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macau U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 5
Indonesia U23
03 Sept
South Korea U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
12 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
09 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 3
Kuwait U23
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Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)