Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Shmona Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Owusu S.
Assist: Salem A.
23' Event
Rakonjac M.
Assist: Owusu S.
46'
Sub
Darwish O. In: Gabay N.
Out: Darwish O.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Petah Tikva in this Ligat ha'Al matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Petah Tikva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
15%
Draws
28%
Shmona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Shmona have won more games recently than Maccabi Petah Tikva.
  • Model gives Maccabi Petah Tikva a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 68%
Shmona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva Shmona
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Shmona
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:0
Dec 28, 2024 State Cup
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Shmona
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Shmona
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rakonjac M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugarriza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 59 / 100
Shmona 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva Shmona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Petah Tikva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Petah Tikva's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shmona conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Shmona registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS Shmona
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Shmona

(Away)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)