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Maccabi Shaarayim vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Schwartz M.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Schwartz M.
45' Event
Eshkoli O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2024/2025 game between Maccabi Shaarayim and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Maccabi Shaarayim
33%
Draws
40%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem come out ahead of Maccabi Shaarayim on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Beitar Nordia Jerusalem's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maccabi Shaarayim Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Shaarayim Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Shaarayim vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
3:4
Dec 19, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Shaarayim
0:1
Apr 9, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Shaarayim vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:1
Jan 19, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Shaarayim
0:0
Apr 27, 2023 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Shaarayim vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Shaarayim Compare

Top Goalscorer Alemayo Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Wendler D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Schwartz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eshkoli O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Shaarayim 28 / 100
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Shaarayim Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Maccabi Shaarayim's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Shaarayim

(Home)
25 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
4 : 1
Maccabi Shaarayim
22 Apr
Maccabi Shaarayim
3 : 4
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
08 Apr
Tzeirei Tira
1 : 0
Maccabi Shaarayim
04 Apr
Maccabi Shaarayim
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
28 Mar
FC Dimona
0 : 2
Maccabi Shaarayim
Page 1 of 6

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Away)
26 Feb
Hapoel Azor
2 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
20 Feb
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
13 Feb
Tzeirei Tira
5 : 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
06 Feb
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
31 Jan
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00
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