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Macclesfield vs Chester

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Woods C.
66' Event
Kay J.
90' Event
Duffy L.

AI Match Summary

Macclesfield in this National League North 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Macclesfield
30%
Draws
38%
Chester
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chester lately — more wins on the board than Macclesfield.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Chester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chester, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 21%
Chester Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macclesfield Chester
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Chester
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Chester
0:2
Dec 30, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Macclesfield
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Macclesfield vs Chester
0:1
Apr 2, 2018 National League
Macclesfield vs Chester
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Kay J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duffy L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chester Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macclesfield 37 / 100
Chester 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macclesfield Chester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Macclesfield scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Macclesfield stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Chester conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Macclesfield VS Chester
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macclesfield

(Home)
18 Aug
Spalding United
0 : 0
Macclesfield
15 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 1
Radcliffe
08 Aug
Marine
0 : 1
Macclesfield
01 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 0
United of Manchester
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6

Chester

(Away)
18 Aug
Darlington FC
0 : 1
Chester
15 Aug
Chester
2 : 0
King’s Lynn
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2
Chester
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0
Crewe
28 Jul
Nantwich
0 : 3
Chester
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Shields -
TBD -
Buxton 4
Scarborough Athletic 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Macclesfield 2
Chester 1
Semi-finals
South Shields 1
Buxton 0
Kidderminster 3
Macclesfield 1
Final
South Shields 0
Kidderminster 2