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Macva Bogatic vs Real Podunavci Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 game between Macva Bogatic and Real Podunavci finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macva Bogatic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Macva Bogatic
30%
Draws
19%
Real Podunavci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macva Bogatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Macva Bogatic haven't matched Real Podunavci's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Macva Bogatic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Macva Bogatic Clean Sheet 20%
Real Podunavci Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macva Bogatic Real Podunavci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Real Podunavci
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Real Podunavci vs Macva Bogatic
2:1
Apr 23, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Real Podunavci vs Macva Bogatic
0:1
Oct 9, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Real Podunavci
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macva Bogatic 85 / 100
Real Podunavci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macva Bogatic Real Podunavci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macva Bogatic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Macva Bogatic remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Macva Bogatic found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Real Podunavci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Podunavci
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macva Bogatic

(Home)
10 Jun
Macva Bogatic
3 : 0
Mladi Radnik
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
OFK Mihajlovac
0 : 2
Macva Bogatic
13 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Takovo
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Real Podunavci

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Podunavci
0 : 2
Radevac
23 Sept
Sloga Pozega
0 : 0
Real Podunavci
19 Sept
Real Podunavci
1 : 0
Zeleznicar Lajkovac
12 Sept
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
3 : 0
Real Podunavci
05 Sept
Real Podunavci
0 : 1
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smederevo 30 24 5 1 62:17 77
2 Borac 1926 30 24 4 2 74:24 76
3 FAP 30 16 9 5 46:26 57
4 Sloga Pozega 30 13 9 8 36:24 48
5 Polet Ljubic 30 13 6 11 47:50 45
6 Tutin 30 12 5 13 29:37 41
7 Takovo 30 9 10 11 37:39 37
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 9 10 11 27:39 37
9 OFK Mihajlovac 30 8 10 12 26:39 34
10 Mladi Radnik 30 9 6 15 39:52 33
11 Real Podunavci 30 9 6 15 29:41 33
12 Macva Bogatic 30 8 8 14 39:45 32
13 Sloga Kraljevo 30 7 10 13 29:41 31
14 Sloga 1940 30 9 4 17 39:41 31
15 Radevac 30 7 9 14 28:39 30
16 Buducnost Arilje 30 5 5 20 24:57 20
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