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Madla IL vs Vardeneset

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2019 game between Madla IL and Vardeneset finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madla IL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Madla IL
30%
Draws
9%
Vardeneset
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Madla IL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Madla IL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Madla IL here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 20%
Vardeneset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madla IL Vardeneset
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 2.57 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2019 Division 3 - Group 3
Vardeneset vs Madla IL
3:1
Jul 7, 2019 Division 3 - Group 3
Madla IL vs Vardeneset
3:0
Oct 17, 2015 Division 3 - Group 6
Vardeneset vs Madla IL
2:3
Jun 21, 2015 Division 3 - Group 6
Madla IL vs Vardeneset
3:1
Jul 26, 2012 Division 3 - Group 6
Madla IL vs Vardeneset
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madla IL 85 / 100
Vardeneset 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madla IL Vardeneset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madla IL found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Vardeneset has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Madla IL has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Madla IL VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Madla IL

(Home)
21 Sept
Madla IL
1 : 1
Haugesund 2
12 Sept
Hinna
1 : 4
Madla IL
05 Sept
Flekkeroy
0 : 2
Madla IL
31 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 0
Odds BK 2
22 Aug
Madla IL
3 : 2
Vidar
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Vardeneset

(Away)
19 May
Vardeneset
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
24 Jul
Vardeneset
0 : 3
Djerv 1919
26 Oct
Viking 2
6 : 0
Vardeneset
19 Oct
Vardeneset
1 : 1
Brodd
12 Oct
Storm BK
2 : 2
Vardeneset
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