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Mageense vs Rio Sao Paulo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nascimento Duarte Inacio V.
50' Event
Ryan Rocha
73' Event
Ryan Rocha

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Mageense and Rio Sao Paulo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mageense
15%
Draws
0%
Rio Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mageense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Sao Paulo come out ahead of Mageense on wins alone.
  • Mageense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mageense Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mageense Rio Sao Paulo
Matches Played 20 27
Wins 5 6
Draws 1 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.05 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.62 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2024 Carioca B2
Mageense vs Rio Sao Paulo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mageense Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Pessoa
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Rio Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Rocha
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nascimento Duarte Inacio V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mageense 85 / 100
Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mageense Rio Sao Paulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mageense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Rio Sao Paulo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Rio Sao Paulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Mageense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).

Scoring Trends

Mageense VS Rio Sao Paulo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.2
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.6
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Mageense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
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Rio Sao Paulo

(Away)
14 Nov
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
11 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
0 : 3
Campo Grande
07 Nov
Bonsucesso
6 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
03 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
1 : 3
Uni Souza
28 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)