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Maghreb Fez vs IR Tanger

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Complexe sportif de Fès
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Hamadi Z.
52' Event
El Bahja H.
Assist: Ghabra J.
57'
Sub
Saoud M. In: El Wahabi A.
Out: Saoud M.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro game between Maghreb Fez and IR Tanger finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IR Tanger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Maghreb Fez
28%
Draws
22%
IR Tanger
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maghreb Fez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Maghreb Fez taking it.
  • Regular Botola Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maghreb Fez IR Tanger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs IR Tanger
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs IR Tanger
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Maghreb Fez
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 Coupe du Trone
Maghreb Fez vs IR Tanger
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maghreb Fez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

IR Tanger Compare

Top Goalscorer El Bahja H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maghreb Fez 59 / 100
IR Tanger 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maghreb Fez IR Tanger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IR Tanger has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Maghreb Fez found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Maghreb Fez stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maghreb Fez VS IR Tanger
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maghreb Fez301611340:1759
2Berkane30169544:2757
3Raja Casablanca30168639:1956
4FAR Rabat301316145:2255
5Wydad Athletic301341339:3343
6Difaa El Jadidi30913830:3440
7IR Tanger30912927:3139
8FUS Rabat309101131:3637
9Kawkab Marrakech308121027:2636
10COD Meknes30991224:3336
11Renaissance Zemamra30891328:3733
12Hassania Agadir30891327:3933
13Union Touarga306131132:4031
14Dcheira30791429:4030
15Yacoub El Mansour30791434:4430
16Olympique de Safi303131424:4222