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Magic United TFA FC vs Queensland Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Magic F.C. Park, Carrara
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Match Events

3' Event
Fiechtner A.
7' Event
Fiechtner A.
10' Event
Fiechtner A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Magic United TFA FC and Queensland Lions finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Magic United TFA FC
44%
Draws
20%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions come out ahead of Magic United TFA FC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Magic United TFA FC Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magic United TFA FC Queensland Lions
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 20
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2.13 3
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 NPL Queensland
Magic United TFA FC vs Queensland Lions
3:5
Mar 22, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Magic United TFA FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magic United TFA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lane H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
5 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magic United TFA FC 34 / 100
Queensland Lions 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magic United TFA FC Queensland Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Magic United TFA FC scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Queensland Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Magic United TFA FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magic United TFA FC VS Queensland Lions
2.13 Goals Scored 3
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Magic United TFA FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
27 Jun
Magic United TFA FC
3 : 5
Brisbane City
19 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1
Magic United TFA FC
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Queensland Lions

(Away)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
07 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1
Queensland Lions
04 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 0
Olympic FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC19104542:2834
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC19721034:3923
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd19421323:3714
12Brisbane Roar U2319411427:4613
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)