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Magic United TFA FC vs Gold Coast Utd

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Magic F.C. Park, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Lane H.
35' Event
Lucas C.
55' Event
Aitken J.

AI Match Summary

Magic United TFA FC in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Magic United TFA FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Magic United TFA FC
33%
Draws
27%
Gold Coast Utd
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Magic United TFA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast Utd haven't matched Magic United TFA FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Magic United TFA FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Magic United TFA FC Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magic United TFA FC Gold Coast Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Magic United TFA FC
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Queensland
Magic United TFA FC vs Gold Coast Utd
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magic United TFA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lane H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aitken J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gold Coast Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magic United TFA FC 38 / 100
Gold Coast Utd 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magic United TFA FC Gold Coast Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gold Coast Utd has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Magic United TFA FC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gold Coast Utd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Magic United TFA FC VS Gold Coast Utd
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Magic United TFA FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
27 Jun
Magic United TFA FC
3 : 5
Brisbane City
19 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1
Magic United TFA FC
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Gold Coast Utd

(Away)
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0
Olympic FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC19104542:2834
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC19721034:3923
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd19421323:3714
12Brisbane Roar U2319411427:4613
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)