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Maharlika Manila vs Philippine Army

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kim Jin-Hyeon
6' Event
Ibrahim F.
16' Event
Kim Jin-Hyeon

AI Match Summary

Maharlika Manila in this PFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maharlika Manila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maharlika Manila
15%
Draws
0%
Philippine Army
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maharlika Manila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maharlika Manila lately — more wins on the board than Philippine Army.
  • Win probability leans Maharlika Manila's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maharlika Manila have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 15%
Philippine Army Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maharlika Manila Philippine Army
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 27
Goals Scored 2.27 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.6 5.55
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Philippine Army
5:2
Mar 7, 2026 PFL
Philippine Army vs Maharlika Manila
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 PFL
Maharlika Manila vs Philippine Army
5:1
Jun 15, 2024 PFL
Philippine Army vs Maharlika Manila
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Jin-Hyeon
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ibrahim F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Philippine Army Compare

Top Goalscorer Ariola J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maharlika Manila 84 / 100
Philippine Army 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maharlika Manila Philippine Army

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maharlika Manila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maharlika Manila found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Philippine Army let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Philippine Army has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maharlika Manila VS Philippine Army
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 5.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Maharlika Manila

(Home)
20 Sept
Azkals
2 : 0
Maharlika Manila
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
31 Aug
Mendiola FC 1991
1 : 1
Maharlika Manila
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
Page 1 of 6

Philippine Army

(Away)
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Philippine Army
1 : 2
Mendiola FC 1991
06 May
Maharlika Manila
5 : 2
Philippine Army
02 May
Philippine Army
1 : 5
Tuloy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)