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Mainz II vs Schott Mainz

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Roden J.
33' Event
Bohl D.
44' Event
De Sousa Oelsner D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Mainz II and Schott Mainz finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schott Mainz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mainz II
6%
Draws
4%
Schott Mainz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mainz II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mainz II come out ahead of Schott Mainz on wins alone.
  • Mainz II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mainz II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mainz II Clean Sheet 20%
Schott Mainz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz II Schott Mainz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Schott Mainz
0:3
Sep 26, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs Mainz II
1:2
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Mainz II vs Schott Mainz
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs Mainz II
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Mainz II vs Schott Mainz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Schott Mainz Compare

Top Goalscorer Roden J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bohl D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz II 85 / 100
Schott Mainz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz II Schott Mainz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz II's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Schott Mainz conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mainz II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mainz II VS Schott Mainz
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522