Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz U19 vs Augsburg U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pressler M.
65' Event
Pressler M.
78' Event
Pressler M.

AI Match Summary

Mainz U19 in this DFB Youth League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mainz U19
30%
Draws
28%
Augsburg U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mainz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mainz U19 lately — more wins on the board than Augsburg U19.
  • Mainz U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mainz U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mainz U19, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mainz U19 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mainz U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Augsburg U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mainz U19 Augsburg U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.41 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 DFB Junioren Pokal
Mainz U19 vs Augsburg U19
5:4
May 3, 2026 DFB Youth League
Mainz U19 vs Augsburg U19
3:0
Mar 3, 2024 Junioren Bundesliga South
Mainz U19 vs Augsburg U19
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 Junioren Bundesliga South
Augsburg U19 vs Mainz U19
1:2
May 21, 2023 Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
Mainz U19 vs Augsburg U19
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mainz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pressler M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Augsburg U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mainz U19 85 / 100
Augsburg U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mainz U19 Augsburg U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mainz U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mainz U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Mainz U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Augsburg U19 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mainz U19 VS Augsburg U19
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz U19

(Home)
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln U19
1 : 1
Mainz U19
30 Aug
Babelsberg U19
0 : 8
Mainz U19
23 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 1
Wehen U19
16 Aug
Kaiserslautern U19
0 : 0
Mainz U19
09 Aug
Mainz U19
1 : 1
Koln U19
Page 1 of 6

Augsburg U19

(Away)
05 Sept
Augsburg U19
1 : 2
Sandhausen U19
23 Aug
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
1 : 2
Augsburg U19
19 Aug
Augsburg U19
3 : 1
Ulm U19
15 Aug
Karlsruher U19
2 : 1
Augsburg U19
08 Aug
Augsburg U19
0 : 2
Freiburg U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hoffenheim U19 2
Schalke U19 1
Kaiserslautern U19 0
Cottbus U19 2
RB Leipzig U19 3
Hamburger U19 1
Mainz U19 3
Augsburg U19 0
Wolfsburg U19 1
Paderborn U19 5
Bochum U19 3
Hannover U19 2
Koln U19 4
Bayern U19 0
Heidenheim U19 3
Leverkusen U19 1
Quarter-finals
Hoffenheim U19 4
Cottbus U19 0
RB Leipzig U19 0
Mainz U19 1
Paderborn U19 2
Bochum U19 1
Koln U19 2
Heidenheim U19 0
Semi-finals
Hoffenheim U19 2
Mainz U19 1
Paderborn U19 2
Koln U19 3
Final
Hoffenheim U19 2
Koln U19 0