Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Castaneda S.
67'
67'
Sub
Marino S. In: Tigges S.
Out: Marino S.
68'
68'
Sub
Becker S. In: Ruoppi O.
Out: Becker S.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Mainz and Paderborn finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paderborn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mainz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mainz Clean Sheet 17%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mainz | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.83 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Paderborn
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Paderborn
2:0
Oct 5, 2019 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Mainz
1:2
Jan 31, 2015 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Paderborn
5:0
Aug 24, 2014 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Mainz
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mainz 31 / 100
Paderborn 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mainz Paderborn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paderborn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mainz scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Paderborn has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Mainz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mainz VS Paderborn
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mainz
(Home) 30 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 1 Mainz
27 Oct
Bochum
2 : 0 Mainz
24 Oct
Mainz
2 : 3 Werder Bremen
17 Oct
Schalke
0 : 1 Mainz
10 Oct
Mainz
3 : 4 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Mainz
2 : 3 Werder Bremen
10 Oct
Mainz
3 : 4 Bayer Leverkusen
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
Paderborn
(Away) 31 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
0 : 0 Paderborn
28 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
24 Oct
Paderborn
1 : 0 Hamburger
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
0 : 0 Paderborn
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1 Paderborn
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
