Sport Picks
Maitland vs Belmont Swansea United
Australia
NPL Northern NSW 2025 Cooks Square Park, Maitland 
Match Events
43'
43'
Woolston K.
67'
67'
Crowley B.
(Penalty)
82'
82'
Crowley B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Northern NSW 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Maitland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Maitland have won more games recently than Belmont Swansea United.
- Maitland are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Maitland have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43.6%
Maitland Clean Sheet 68%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maitland | Belmont Swansea United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Belmont Swansea United
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Maitland
3:4
Aug 13, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Jul 16, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Maitland
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maitland Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Belmont Swansea United Compare
Top Goalscorer Woolston K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lodge C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maitland 68 / 100
Belmont Swansea United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maitland Belmont Swansea United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maitland found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Belmont Swansea United conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Maitland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maitland VS Belmont Swansea United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Maitland
(Home) 25 Jul
Maitland
0 : 1 Broadmeadow Magic FC
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2 Fremantle City
18 Jul
Lambton Jaffas FC
0 : 1 Maitland
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Maitland
0 : 1 Broadmeadow Magic FC
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2 Fremantle City
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
13 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Valentine
Page 1 of 3
Belmont Swansea United
(Away) 26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
13 Jun
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
05 Jun
Cooks Hill United
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 50:18 | 59 |
| 2 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 50:15 | 53 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 61:25 | 50 |
| 4 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 37:29 | 33 |
| 5 | Maitland | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 42:41 | 32 |
| 6 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 47:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 24 |
| 8 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 33:47 | 23 |
| 9 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 26:47 | 23 |
| 10 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 34:45 | 20 |
| 11 | Valentine | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28:60 | 16 |
| 12 | New Lambton | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 21:62 | 7 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Northern NSW State League (Main)
