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MAK vs TSK Simferopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Saranchukov V.

AI Match Summary

MAK in this Premier League (Crimea) matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MAK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
MAK
15%
Draws
46%
TSK Simferopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSK Simferopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TSK Simferopol lately — more wins on the board than MAK.
  • Win probability leans MAK's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
MAK Clean Sheet 10%
TSK Simferopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MAK TSK Simferopol
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.47 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
TSK Simferopol vs MAK
2:3
May 3, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
MAK vs TSK Simferopol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MAK Compare

Top Goalscorer Saranchukov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

TSK Simferopol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MAK 34 / 100
TSK Simferopol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MAK TSK Simferopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MAK scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Defensive concern: TSK Simferopol conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

MAK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MAK VS TSK Simferopol
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MAK

(Home)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
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TSK Simferopol

(Away)
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
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