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MAK vs Zarechnoye

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Smirnov A.
Own Goal
30' Event
Ataev A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between MAK and Zarechnoye finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MAK
20%
Draws
40%
Zarechnoye
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zarechnoye come out ahead of MAK on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zarechnoye a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
MAK Clean Sheet 10%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MAK Zarechnoye
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.47 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
MAK vs Zarechnoye
1:1
May 24, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs MAK
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
MAK vs Zarechnoye
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MAK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Ataev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MAK 18 / 100
Zarechnoye 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MAK Zarechnoye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarechnoye Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MAK scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Defensive concern: Zarechnoye conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: MAK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MAK VS Zarechnoye
3.13 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MAK

(Home)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
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Zarechnoye

(Away)
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
14 Jun
Ocean Kerch
0 : 5
Zarechnoye
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