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Stadium Background

Maksimir vs Vrbovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Maksimir Logo

Maksimir

5 - 1
FT
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Maksimir and Vrbovec finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maksimir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Maksimir
20%
Draws
51%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrbovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maksimir come out ahead of Vrbovec on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maksimir Clean Sheet 16%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maksimir Vrbovec
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 3. HNL Center
Maksimir vs Vrbovec
5:1
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Maksimir
3:0
Apr 3, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Maksimir
4:1
Sep 30, 2020 3. HNL Center
Maksimir vs Vrbovec
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maksimir 31 / 100
Vrbovec 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maksimir Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vrbovec conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Maksimir's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Maksimir remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maksimir VS Vrbovec
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maksimir

(Home)
17 Sept
Maksimir
0 : 4
Rijeka
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
07 Aug
Kustosija
4 : 1
Maksimir
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Maksimir
4 : 5
Ravnice
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Vrbovec

(Away)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)