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Malaga B vs Xerez CD

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Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Malaga B Logo

Malaga B

1 - 2
FT
Xerez CD Logo

Xerez CD

Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Campos G.
Own Goal
87' Event
Campos G.
89' Event
Sissokho M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Xerez CD in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xerez CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malaga B
35%
Draws
29%
Xerez CD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xerez CD lately — more wins on the board than Malaga B.
  • Malaga B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 68%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Xerez CD
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.17 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Xerez CD
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Malaga B
1:0
Jul 30, 2011 Club Friendly
Xerez CD vs Malaga B
1:1
Jun 17, 2006 LaLiga2
Xerez CD vs Malaga B
4:2
Jan 21, 2006 LaLiga2
Malaga B vs Xerez CD
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Xerez CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sissokho M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 68 / 100
Xerez CD 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Xerez CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malaga B scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Malaga B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Xerez CD has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS Xerez CD
2.14 Goals Scored 0.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.13
71% Over 1.5 25%
71% Over 2.5 0%
57% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
Page 1 of 6

Xerez CD

(Away)
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)