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Malaga B vs Xerez Deportivo FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Iglesias D. Y.
58' Event
Chamorro A.
89' Event
Chamorro A.

AI Match Summary

Malaga B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Malaga B
33%
Draws
27%
Xerez Deportivo FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xerez Deportivo FC lately — more wins on the board than Malaga B.
  • Malaga B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 68%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Xerez Deportivo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Xerez Deportivo FC
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Malaga B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamorro A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias D. Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 50 / 100
Xerez Deportivo FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Xerez Deportivo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Xerez Deportivo FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Malaga B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS Xerez Deportivo FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1
Jaen
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Xerez Deportivo FC

(Away)
03 May
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Xerez Deportivo FC
26 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Xerez CD
19 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
12 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Linares
05 Apr
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)