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Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malaga host Dep. A Coruna in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. A Coruna have shipped 0.38 goals a game lately, while Malaga have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Malaga have won 2 to Dep. A Coruna's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Malaga. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malaga
44%
Draws
20%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Malaga are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Malaga Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Malaga
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 LaLiga2
Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 LaLiga2
Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Malaga
0:0
Jul 8, 2020 LaLiga2
Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga 36 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Dep. A Coruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Malaga stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dep. A Coruna let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Malaga VS Dep. A Coruna
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga

(Home)
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3
Leicester
20 Jun
Almeria
1 : 2
Malaga
14 Jun
Malaga
0 : 0
Almeria
10 Jun
Malaga
1 : 1
Las Palmas
07 Jun
Las Palmas
0 : 1
Malaga
Page 1 of 6

Dep. A Coruna

(Away)
29 Jul
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 0
Lugo
25 Jul
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Dep. A Coruna
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
31 May
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 2
Las Palmas
24 May
Valladolid
0 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad00000:00
2Elche00000:00
3Alaves00000:00
4Celta Vigo00000:00
5Malaga00000:00
6Rayo Vallecano00000:00
7Real Madrid00000:00
8Villarreal00000:00
9Barcelona00000:00
10Atl. Madrid00000:00
11Sevilla00000:00
12Racing Santander00000:00
13Dep. A Coruna00000:00
14Valencia00000:00
15Ath Bilbao00000:00
16Espanyol00000:00
17Betis00000:00
18Getafe00000:00
19Osasuna00000:00
20Levante00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)