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Malaga Juniors vs Huetor Tajar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Utrilla A.

AI Match Summary

Huetor Tajar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Huetor Tajar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Malaga Juniors
15%
Draws
57%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Huetor Tajar have won more games recently than Malaga Juniors.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 16%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Juniors Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Huetor Tajar
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Malaga Juniors
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Huetor Tajar
3:0
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Malaga Juniors
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Huetor Tajar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Huetor Tajar Compare

Top Goalscorer Utrilla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga Juniors 36 / 100
Huetor Tajar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Juniors Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Malaga Juniors found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Huetor Tajar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malaga Juniors VS Huetor Tajar
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga Juniors

(Home)
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2
Malaga Juniors
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
Jaen
1 : 0
Malaga Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)