Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Banda B.
Assist: Mweemba L.
25'
25'
Sub
Thom S. In: Simwaka A.
Out: Thom S.
37'
37'
Chilufya P.
Assist: Belemu M.
AI Match Summary
Zambia W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Zambia W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Zambia W have won more games recently than Malawi W.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Zambia W taking it.
- Zambia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zambia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 18%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malawi W | Zambia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Malawi W vs Zambia W
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Malawi W vs Zambia W
1:1
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Malawi W
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Malawi W
2:0
Oct 31, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Malawi W vs Zambia W
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malawi W Compare
Top Goalscorer Chawinga T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Zambia W Compare
Top Goalscorer Banda B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chilufya P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malawi W 12 / 100
Zambia W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malawi W Zambia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Malawi W's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Zambia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Malawi W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Malawi W VS Zambia W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Malawi W
(Home) 01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3 Malawi W
28 Jul
Nigeria W
2 : 3 Malawi W
23 Jul
Malawi W
0 : 4 Ghana W
16 Jul
Morocco W
2 : 1 Malawi W
06 Jun
Tanzania W
0 : 0 Malawi W
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23 Jul
Malawi W
0 : 4 Ghana W
21 Feb
Malawi W
8 : 1 Lesotho W
30 Nov
Malawi W
1 : 1 Zambia W
28 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0 Angola W
31 Aug
Malawi W
3 : 0 Lesotho W
Page 1 of 2
Zambia W
(Away) 01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0 Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0 Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0 Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1 Zambia W
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0 Zimbabwe W
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01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0 Zambia W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0 Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1 Zambia W
18 Apr
South Korea W
1 : 1 Zambia W
15 Apr
Brazil W
6 : 1 Zambia W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Algeria W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Kenya W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 2 | South Africa W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Tanzania W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Burkina Faso W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malawi W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Zambia W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Nigeria W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Ghana W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mali W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Cape Verde W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)
