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Maldonado vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mimbacas F.
28'
Cecchini E.
30' Event
Espindola M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Juventud finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maldonado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maldonado
6%
Draws
4%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Juventud haven't matched Maldonado's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maldonado a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Juventud
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Juventud
2:1
Jul 28, 2018 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Juventud
0:1
Mar 3, 2018 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Maldonado
2:0
Feb 25, 2012 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Maldonado
0:0
Oct 1, 2011 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Juventud
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Espindola M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noble Sequeira A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Mimbacas F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 95 / 100
Juventud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Juventud let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maldonado stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Juventud
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0
Maldonado
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
06 Jun
Montevideo City
2 : 4
Maldonado
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
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Juventud

(Away)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)