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Mali U17 vs Ivory Coast U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade municipal de Berrechid, Berrechid
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Haidara A.
Assist: Touali T.
18' Event
Haidara A.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Diarrassouba M.
Assist: Haidara A.

AI Match Summary

Ivory Coast U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mali U17
30%
Draws
41%
Ivory Coast U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ivory Coast U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Ivory Coast U17 haven't matched Mali U17's recent run of results.
  • Mali U17 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ivory Coast U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ivory Coast U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Ivory Coast U17
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 24 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.08 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Ivory Coast U17
2:4
Feb 22, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ivory Coast U17 vs Mali U17
0:1
Jan 9, 2011 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ivory Coast U17 vs Mali U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bomba N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ivory Coast U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haidara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diarrassouba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 58 / 100
Ivory Coast U17 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Ivory Coast U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mali U17 scored in 84% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Ivory Coast U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Mali U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS Ivory Coast U17
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 8

Ivory Coast U17

(Away)
24 May
Ivory Coast U17
1 : 4
Egypt U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
D.R. Congo U17
0 : 1
Ivory Coast U17
13 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 0
Cameroon U17
10 Nov
South Korea U17
3 : 1
Ivory Coast U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)