Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mali U20 in this CAF African Championship U20 2015 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mali U20 have won more games recently than Togo U20.
- Mali U20 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Mali U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mali U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Togo U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mali U20 | Togo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 18 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.86 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Togo U20 vs Mali U20
1:0
Aug 17, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Togo U20
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mali U20 36 / 100
Togo U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mali U20 Togo U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mali U20 scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.
Defensive concern: Togo U20 conceded in 78% of 18 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Solid form: Mali U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mali U20 VS Togo U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Mali U20
(Home) 14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2 Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3 Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2 Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2 Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0 Mali U20
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14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2 Japan U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2 Panama U20
09 Sept
Mali U20
1 : 2 Gambia U20
29 Aug
Mali U20
0 : 1 Senegal U20
27 Aug
Mali U20
0 : 1 Nigeria U20
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Togo U20
(Away) 19 Jul
Togo U20
2 : 0 Benin U20
17 Jul
Togo U20
0 : 2 Ivory Coast U20
14 Jul
Burkina Faso U20
0 : 1 Togo U20
11 Jul
Niger U20
1 : 0 Togo U20
04 Jul
Benin U20
1 : 1 Togo U20
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14 Jul
Burkina Faso U20
0 : 1 Togo U20
11 Jul
Niger U20
1 : 0 Togo U20
04 Jul
Benin U20
1 : 1 Togo U20
01 Apr
Gabon U20
4 : 0 Togo U20
17 Aug
Mali U20
2 : 0 Togo U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Malawi U203
Botswana U202
TBD-
D.R. Congo U20-
Mozambique U204
Namibia U202
TBD-
Zambia U20-
Nigeria U20-
TBD-
Kenya U200
Tanzania U201
Angola U20-
TBD-
Eswatini U202
Lesotho U204
Cameroon U20-
TBD-
Djibouti U201
Burundi U202
Ethiopia U205
Seychelles U200
TBD-
South Africa U20-
Ghana U20-
TBD-
Guinea U200
Sierra Leone U202
Rwanda U20-
South Sudan U20-
TBD-
Gabon U20-
Congo U203
Niger U202
TBD-
Benin U20-
Sudan U205
Somalia U200
TBD-
Egypt U20-
Libya U204
Chad U200
Mauritania U201
Tunisia U206
Liberia U200
Gambia U201
Guinea-Bissau U20-
Ivory Coast U20-
Mali U20-
TBD-
TBD-
Burkina Faso U20-
Morocco U20-
TBD-
Equatorial Guinea U20-
Togo U20-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Malawi U203
D.R. Congo U201
Mozambique U200
Zambia U204
Nigeria U206
Tanzania U201
Angola U201
Lesotho U204
Cameroon U202
Burundi U201
Ethiopia U200
South Africa U203
Ghana U204
Sierra Leone U201
Rwanda U200
Gabon U201
Congo U204
Benin U203
Sudan U200
Egypt U205
Libya U204
Tunisia U202
Liberia U201
Ivory Coast U202
Mali U203
Burkina Faso U202
Morocco U204
Togo U204
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
Malawi U201
Zambia U203
Nigeria U206
Lesotho U200
Cameroon U202
South Africa U203
Ghana U204
Gabon U201
Congo U203
Egypt U202
Libya U203
Ivory Coast U204
Mali U202
Togo U201
TBD-
TBD-