Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U23 vs Rwanda U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 Logo

Mali U23

1 - 0
FT
Rwanda U23 Logo

Rwanda U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Mali U23
22%
Draws
22%
Rwanda U23
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Very High Confidence
  • Mali U23 have won more games recently than Rwanda U23.
  • Win probability leans Mali U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mali U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Rwanda U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 Rwanda U23
Matches Played 28 4
Wins 14 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Rwanda U23
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Rwanda U23 vs Mali U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 95 / 100
Rwanda U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 Rwanda U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mali U23 scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Mali U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rwanda U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS Rwanda U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Rwanda U23

(Away)
29 Oct
Mali U23
1 : 0
Rwanda U23
22 Oct
Rwanda U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
23 Sept
Libya U23
4 : 1
Rwanda U23

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1