Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maliqi vs Pogradeci

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kame D.
(Penalty)
15' Event
Topllari E.
41' Event
Pengu A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2021/2022 game between Maliqi and Pogradeci finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogradeci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maliqi
20%
Draws
80%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogradeci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Pogradeci taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maliqi Clean Sheet 10%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maliqi Pogradeci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Maliqi vs Pogradeci
2:3
Dec 14, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Maliqi
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maliqi Compare

Top Goalscorer Demollari R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pogradeci Compare

Top Goalscorer Topllari E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pengu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maliqi 10 / 100
Pogradeci 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maliqi Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Maliqi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Pogradeci has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Pogradeci's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maliqi VS Pogradeci
1 Goals Scored 2.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maliqi

(Home)
08 Aug
Maliqi
1 : 3
Kukesi
16 Jan
Struga
3 : 0
Maliqi
15 Oct
Vora
6 : 2
Maliqi
12 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
3 : 0
Maliqi
26 Sept
Maliqi
1 : 5
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 6

Pogradeci

(Away)
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
08 Aug
Pogradeci
4 : 2
Pelister
31 Jul
Pogradeci
0 : 2
Partizani
25 Jul
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bylis 30 22 3 5 51:18 69
2 Erzeni Shijak 30 21 4 5 57:18 67
3 Korabi Peshkopi 30 17 8 5 35:22 59
4 Apolonia Fier 30 16 3 11 44:25 51
5 Terbuni Puka 30 12 11 7 21:16 47
6 Tomori Berat 30 12 8 10 45:31 44
7 Lushnja 30 10 12 8 31:27 42
8 Burreli 30 10 11 9 30:24 41
9 Besa Kavaje 30 12 4 14 36:40 40
10 Beselidhja Lezha 30 12 3 15 45:54 39
11 Pogradeci 30 10 8 12 32:37 38
12 Turbina Cerrik 30 11 4 15 31:44 37
13 Butrinti Sarande 30 9 7 14 32:36 34
14 Maliqi 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
15 Vora 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
16 Shkumbini Peqin 30 5 3 22 30:76 18
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)