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Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion
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Match Events

9' Event
Djuric A.
Assist: Rosengren O.
23' Event
Botheim E.
45' Event
Botheim E.
Assist: Sjostrand O.

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Malmo FF
6%
Draws
4%
IFK Goteborg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Malmo FF at 1.88 per game, IFK Goteborg at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Malmo FF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 11%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF IFK Goteborg
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
4:0
Aug 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
0:0
May 25, 2025 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
3:2
Oct 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Botheim E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Djuric A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

IFK Goteborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 83 / 100
IFK Goteborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF IFK Goteborg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

IFK Goteborg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Malmo FF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS IFK Goteborg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius12102033:1532
2Hammarby1372428:1423
3Hacken1255225:2220
4Djurgarden1161426:1519
5GAIS1354418:1219
6Malmo FF1261525:2019
7Vasteras SK1354422:2319
8Elfsborg1346317:1418
9AIK1253416:1818
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1241714:1713
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1224612:1910
15Orgryte1223714:319
16Halmstad1213810:266