Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2016/2017

Afyonspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maltepespor play Afyonspor in the TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maltepespor averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Afyonspor averaged 1 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Maltepespor won 0, Afyonspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 9, 2017 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Maltepespor and 0.86 for Afyonspor. This points to a Maltepespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Maltepespor

24%

Draws

32%

Afyonspor

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Maltepespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Maltepespor picked up more points recently compared to Afyonspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Maltepespor Clean Sheet 25%

Afyonspor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maltepespor	Afyonspor
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	6
Draws	7	8
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	0.87	1
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2017 3. Lig Group 3

Maltepespor vs Afyonspor

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

0:1

Nov 27, 2016 3. Lig Group 3

Afyonspor vs Maltepespor

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maltepespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Afyonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Karakullukcu O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maltepespor 45 / 100

Afyonspor 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maltepespor Afyonspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maltepespor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maltepespor attacking → ← attacking Afyonspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maltepespor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Afyonspor let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Maltepespor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Afyonspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 26

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Afyonspor	34	22	8	4	62:25	74
2	Sakaryaspor	34	20	8	6	66:27	68
3	Darica Genclerbirligi	34	21	5	8	60:28	68
4	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	18	6	10	54:43	60
5	Bayrampasa	34	15	11	8	52:38	56
6	23 Elazig FK	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Trabzon FK	34	14	8	12	42:34	50
8	Tarsus	34	13	9	12	57:53	48
9	Cankaya FK	34	12	6	16	38:49	42
10	Muglaspor	34	11	9	14	41:54	42
11	Orhangazispor	34	12	5	17	40:43	41
12	Sultanbeyli	34	10	10	14	38:49	40
13	Izmir Coruhlu	34	10	9	15	31:44	39
14	12 Bingol Spor	34	9	12	13	31:42	39
15	Payasspor	34	7	14	13	26:40	35
16	Maltepespor	34	8	8	18	23:49	32
17	Saraykoy 1926	34	4	10	20	26:54	22
18	Orduspor	34	7	8	19	36:65	20