Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2021/2022

Mamry Gizycko

3 - 0

Ursus Warszawa

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Ratajczyk A.

27'

Bucio M.

(Penalty)

61'

Sadocha K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 game between Mamry Gizycko and Ursus Warszawa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamry Gizycko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Mamry Gizycko

17%

Draws

13%

Ursus Warszawa

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mamry Gizycko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Mamry Gizycko carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Mamry Gizycko's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Mamry Gizycko Clean Sheet 10%

Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mamry Gizycko	Ursus Warszawa
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	11	6
Draws	3	6
Losses	16	20
Goals Scored	1.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	3.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Mamry Gizycko vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Nov 6, 2021 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Mamry Gizycko

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mamry Gizycko Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratajczyk A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sadocha K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mamry Gizycko 65 / 100

Ursus Warszawa 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mamry Gizycko Ursus Warszawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ursus Warszawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mamry Gizycko scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mamry Gizycko remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mamry Gizycko VS Ursus Warszawa

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

3.5 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	36	26	3	7	80:27	81
2	Legionowo	36	24	8	4	76:39	80
3	Swit Mazowiecki	36	17	8	11	58:46	59
4	Legia II	36	16	10	10	77:55	58
5	Blonianka Blonie	36	17	6	13	61:62	57
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	36	16	8	12	63:48	56
7	LKS Lodz II	36	15	9	12	63:52	54
8	Ursus Warszawa	36	15	8	13	53:63	53
9	Jagiellonia II	36	16	4	16	66:58	52
10	Bron Radom	36	15	6	15	48:55	51
11	Unia Skierniewice	36	15	4	17	60:58	49
12	Pelikan	36	12	10	14	57:46	46
13	Pilica Bialobrzegi	36	13	6	17	57:72	45
14	Kutno	36	11	10	15	49:64	43
15	Mamry Gizycko	36	13	3	20	43:68	42
16	GKS Wikielec	36	10	12	14	42:53	42
17	Znicz Biala Piska	36	12	6	18	55:69	42
18	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	36	5	10	21	36:64	25
19	Wissa Szczuczyn	36	4	9	23	28:73	21