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Manacor vs Formentera

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Exposito F.
79' Event
Exposito F.
81' Event
Capella M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Manacor and Formentera finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Manacor
30%
Draws
35%
Formentera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manacor come out ahead of Formentera on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Manacor taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Manacor Clean Sheet 14%
Formentera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manacor Formentera
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.91 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Formentera
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Manacor
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Formentera
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Manacor
0:3
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Formentera
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Exposito F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Capella M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Formentera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manacor 35 / 100
Formentera 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manacor Formentera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Formentera conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Manacor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manacor VS Formentera
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manacor

(Home)
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
Page 1 of 7

Formentera

(Away)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)