Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manacor vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Amengual T.
41' Event
Gomez M.
54' Event
Amengual T.

AI Match Summary

Manacor in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manacor
20%
Draws
29%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manacor lately — more wins on the board than Llosetense.
  • Model gives Manacor a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Manacor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Manacor, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Manacor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Manacor Clean Sheet 10%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manacor Llosetense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.85 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
2:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Manacor
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Manacor
1:4
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Amengual T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manacor 40 / 100
Llosetense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manacor Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Llosetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Manacor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manacor VS Llosetense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manacor

(Home)
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
Page 1 of 7

Llosetense

(Away)
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Manacor 3
Llosetense 2
Pena Deportiva 3
Constancia 2
Final
Manacor 2
Pena Deportiva 5