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Manama Club vs Al-Ittifaq

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manama Club play Al-Ittifaq in the King's Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manama Club averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Al-Ittifaq averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Manama Club won 5, Al-Ittifaq won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 31, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Manama Club and 1.00 for Al-Ittifaq. This points to a Al-Ittifaq double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Manama Club
40%
Draws
30%
Al-Ittifaq
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Al-Ittifaq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Manama Club picked up more points recently compared to Al-Ittifaq.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Manama Club Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Ittifaq Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manama Club Al-Ittifaq
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2023 King's Cup
Manama Club vs Al-Ittifaq
2:0
Nov 13, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittifaq vs Manama Club
0:4
Nov 10, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Manama Club vs Al-Ittifaq
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Manama Club vs Al-Ittifaq
4:1
Jan 12, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittifaq vs Manama Club
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manama Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobares F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al-Ittifaq Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manama Club 32 / 100
Al-Ittifaq 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manama Club Al-Ittifaq

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al-Ittifaq or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manama Club attacking → ← attacking Al-Ittifaq

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manama Club scored in 66% of their last 38 games.

Al-Ittifaq let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Manama Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al-Ittifaq lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 21
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33