Sport Picks
Mancha vs Mijas Las Lagunas
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 
Match Events
51'
51'
Rentero C.
AI Match Summary
Mancha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mancha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mijas Las Lagunas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mancha haven't matched Mijas Las Lagunas's recent run of results.
- Mancha are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mancha Clean Sheet 15%
Mijas Las Lagunas Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mancha | Mijas Las Lagunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Mancha
2:0
May 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Mancha
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mancha Compare
Top Goalscorer Rentero C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Mijas Las Lagunas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mancha 41 / 100
Mijas Las Lagunas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mancha Mijas Las Lagunas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Mancha scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Mijas Las Lagunas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Mancha has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mancha VS Mijas Las Lagunas
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mancha
(Home) 20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0 Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
05 Apr
Mancha
0 : 0 Melilla B
21 Mar
Mancha
1 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 3
Mijas Las Lagunas
(Away) 20 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
15 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0 Mijas Las Lagunas
15 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
10 May
Granada CF B
4 : 4 Mijas Las Lagunas
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
