Sport Picks
Manchester United W vs Atl. Madrid W
Europe
Champions League Women 2025/2026 Leigh Sports Village, Leigh 
Match Events
20'
20'
Schuller L.
28'
28'
Zigiotti Olme J.
Assist: Naalsund L.
34'
34'
Menayo C.
AI Match Summary
Manchester United W in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atl. Madrid W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atl. Madrid W haven't matched Manchester United W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Atl. Madrid W's way, sitting at 60%.
- Manchester United W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Manchester United W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Manchester United W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manchester United W | Atl. Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2026 Champions League Women
Manchester United W vs Atl. Madrid W
2:0
Feb 12, 2026 Champions League Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Manchester United W
0:3
Oct 16, 2025 Champions League Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Manchester United W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manchester United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Zigiotti Olme J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Park J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Atl. Madrid W Compare
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manchester United W 18 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manchester United W Atl. Madrid W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manchester United W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Atl. Madrid W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Atl. Madrid W lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Manchester United W VS Atl. Madrid W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Manchester United W
(Home) 16 May
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Manchester United W
02 May
Manchester United W
1 : 1 Brighton W
26 Apr
Tottenham W
0 : 0 Manchester United W
01 Apr
Bayern Munich W
2 : 1 Manchester United W
28 Mar
Manchester United W
0 : 3 Manchester City W
Page 1 of 7
02 May
Manchester United W
1 : 1 Brighton W
28 Mar
Manchester United W
0 : 3 Manchester City W
25 Mar
Manchester United W
2 : 3 Bayern Munich W
21 Mar
Manchester United W
2 : 1 Everton W
19 Feb
Manchester United W
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
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Atl. Madrid W
(Away) 31 May
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
26 May
Atl. Madrid W
2 : 2 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
16 May
Barcelona W
3 : 1 Atl. Madrid W
10 May
Real Madrid W
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
03 May
Atl. Madrid W
4 : 0 Eibar W
Page 1 of 7
31 May
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
16 May
Barcelona W
3 : 1 Atl. Madrid W
10 May
Real Madrid W
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid W
25 Apr
Badalona W
2 : 4 Atl. Madrid W
29 Mar
Athletic Bilbao W
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Atl. Madrid W0
Manchester United W5
TBD-
Bayern Munich W-
Paris FC W2
Real Madrid W5
TBD-
Barcelona W-
Leuven W1
Arsenal W7
TBD-
Chelsea W-
Wolfsburg W4
Juventus W2
TBD-
Lyon W-
Quarter-finals
Manchester United W3
Bayern Munich W5
Real Madrid W2
Barcelona W12
Arsenal W3
Chelsea W2
Wolfsburg W1
Lyon W4
Semi-finals
Bayern Munich W3
Barcelona W5
Arsenal W3
Lyon W4
Final
Barcelona W4
Lyon W0
