Sport Picks
Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
Australia
WA State League Securitas Protect Stadium, Perth 
Match Events
35'
35'
Stocks C.
36'
36'
Callaghan J.
62'
62'
Lovell S.
AI Match Summary
The WA State League game between Mandurah City and Gwelup Croatia SC finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mandurah City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mandurah City come out ahead of Gwelup Croatia SC on wins alone.
- Model gives Mandurah City a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 18%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mandurah City | Gwelup Croatia SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Mandurah City
5:2
Jun 21, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Mandurah City
4:2
Aug 17, 2024 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Mandurah City
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mandurah City Compare
Top Goalscorer Callaghan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lovell S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Gwelup Croatia SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Stocks C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ford O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mandurah City 85 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mandurah City Gwelup Croatia SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mandurah City's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Gwelup Croatia SC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Mandurah City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mandurah City VS Gwelup Croatia SC
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mandurah City
(Home) 25 Jul
Mandurah City
1 : 1 Inglewood Utd
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4 Mandurah City
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2 Mandurah City
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Mandurah City
3 : 1 Kingsley Westside
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Mandurah City
1 : 1 Inglewood Utd
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Mandurah City
3 : 1 Kingsley Westside
20 Jun
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Cockburn City
30 May
Mandurah City
2 : 1 Floreat Athena
Page 1 of 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
(Away) 25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3 Gwelup Croatia SC
18 Jul
Cockburn City
0 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
11 Jul
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1 Inglewood Utd
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Gwelup Croatia SC
0 : 0 Curtin University
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3 Gwelup Croatia SC
18 Jul
Cockburn City
0 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
20 Jun
UWA Nedlands
2 : 0 Gwelup Croatia SC
13 Jun
Joondalup City
2 : 1 Gwelup Croatia SC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floreat Athena | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 42:18 | 42 |
| 2 | UWA Nedlands | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 41:23 | 38 |
| 3 | Mandurah City | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 43:32 | 33 |
| 4 | Joondalup City | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Inglewood Utd | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 18:19 | 28 |
| 6 | Kingsley Westside | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 29:26 | 26 |
| 7 | Quinns | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:34 | 24 |
| 8 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28:36 | 21 |
| 9 | Murdoch University Melville | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 33:37 | 19 |
| 10 | Cockburn City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29:38 | 19 |
| 11 | Subiaco | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 29:42 | 13 |
| 12 | Curtin University | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15:33 | 9 |
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)
