Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manfredonia vs Acerrana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Urain E.

AI Match Summary

Manfredonia in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manfredonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Manfredonia
6%
Draws
4%
Acerrana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manfredonia lately — more wins on the board than Acerrana.
  • Win probability leans Manfredonia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Manfredonia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manfredonia Acerrana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Manfredonia
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Acerrana
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Acerrana
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Manfredonia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Urain E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Acerrana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manfredonia 95 / 100
Acerrana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manfredonia Acerrana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acerrana let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Acerrana lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Manfredonia found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Manfredonia VS Acerrana
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Manfredonia

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6

Acerrana

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)