Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Urain E.
AI Match Summary
Manfredonia in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manfredonia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manfredonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Manfredonia lately — more wins on the board than Acerrana.
- Win probability leans Manfredonia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Manfredonia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manfredonia | Acerrana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Manfredonia
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Acerrana
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Acerrana
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Manfredonia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manfredonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Urain E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96
Acerrana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manfredonia 95 / 100
Acerrana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manfredonia Acerrana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Acerrana let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Acerrana lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Manfredonia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Manfredonia VS Acerrana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Manfredonia
(Home) 20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
29 Mar
Manfredonia
1 : 2 Gravina
Page 1 of 3
Acerrana
(Away) 03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0 Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5 Sarnese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0 Acerrana
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
29 Mar
Fidelis Andria
1 : 0 Acerrana
01 Mar
Afragolese
5 : 2 Acerrana
15 Feb
Heraclea
1 : 0 Acerrana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
