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Manhattan vs Staten Island ASC

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manhattan in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manhattan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Manhattan
6%
Draws
4%
Staten Island ASC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manhattan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manhattan lately — more wins on the board than Staten Island ASC.
  • Model gives Manhattan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Manhattan here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Manhattan Clean Sheet 10%
Staten Island ASC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manhattan Staten Island ASC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Manhattan
2:2
Jul 14, 2025 USL League Two
Manhattan vs Staten Island ASC
1:0
Jun 2, 2024 USL League Two
Manhattan vs Staten Island ASC
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manhattan 83 / 100
Staten Island ASC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manhattan Staten Island ASC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manhattan scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Staten Island ASC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Manhattan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manhattan VS Staten Island ASC
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%