Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manly Utd vs SD Raiders

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Griffiths S.

AI Match Summary

Manly Utd in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manly Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Manly Utd
15%
Draws
34%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manly Utd haven't matched SD Raiders's recent run of results.
  • Manly Utd are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 16%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manly Utd SD Raiders
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs SD Raiders
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Manly Utd
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

SD Raiders Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 39 / 100
SD Raiders 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manly Utd SD Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Raiders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Manly Utd scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Manly Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manly Utd VS SD Raiders
2 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Manly Utd

(Home)
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
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SD Raiders

(Away)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)