Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manly Utd vs SD Raiders

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manly Utd play SD Raiders in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Manly Utd averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. SD Raiders averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Manly Utd won 1, SD Raiders won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Manly Utd and 1.06 for SD Raiders. This points to a SD Raiders double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Manly Utd
24%
Draws
42%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Manly Utd picked up more points recently compared to SD Raiders.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 22%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manly Utd SD Raiders
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs SD Raiders
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Manly Utd
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SD Raiders Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 35 / 100
SD Raiders 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manly Utd SD Raiders

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SD Raiders or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Manly Utd attacking → ← attacking SD Raiders

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manly Utd scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

SD Raiders let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Manly Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SD Raiders lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 45
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715