Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manly Utd vs Sydney Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Burgess D.
46' Event
Koop B.
47' Event
Koop B.

AI Match Summary

Manly Utd in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manly Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Manly Utd
6%
Draws
4%
Sydney Olympic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Manly Utd have won more games recently than Sydney Olympic.
  • Win probability leans Manly Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manly Utd Sydney Olympic
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney Olympic
4:0
Apr 11, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs Manly Utd
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney Olympic
1:5
Apr 27, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs Manly Utd
2:5
Jun 29, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs Manly Utd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Koop B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Burgess D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sydney Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 85 / 100
Sydney Olympic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manly Utd Sydney Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sydney Olympic conceded in 97% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Manly Utd remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Manly Utd found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Manly Utd VS Sydney Olympic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manly Utd

(Home)
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0
Sydney Olympic
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0
Manly Utd
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1
Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0
SD Raiders
27 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3
Manly Utd
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Sydney Olympic

(Away)
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0
Sydney Olympic
18 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney Olympic
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2
Wollongong
04 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
Sydney Olympic
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)