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Manta vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Caicedo E. In: Heredia G.
Out: Caicedo E.
46'
Sub
Ozaeta T. In: Arce J.
Out: Ozaeta T.
66'
Sub
Burbano R. In: Chala J.
Out: Burbano R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Manta and Delfin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Delfin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Manta
44%
Draws
20%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Manta have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Delfin are scoring more at 1.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Manta Clean Sheet 21%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Delfin
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Delfin
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Manta
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Manta
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Delfin
2:2
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Delfin vs Manta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayunta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 37 / 100
Delfin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Delfin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Manta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Delfin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Manta's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Delfin
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle18141340:1943
2Aucas1895421:1632
3Barcelona SC1886420:1330
4Macara1985620:1929
5LDU Quito1884619:1428
6Dep. Cuenca1883718:2027
7U. Catolica1875628:1826
8Emelec1866614:1724
9Tecnico U.1872919:1923
10Leones del Norte1865719:1923
11Orense1865722:2423
12Guayaquil City1864816:2122
13Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
14Libertad1846817:2518
15Delfin1845910:1817
16Manta1834117:2313