Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manta vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Caicedo E. In: Heredia G.
Out: Caicedo E.
46'
Sub
Ozaeta T. In: Arce J.
Out: Ozaeta T.
66'
Sub
Burbano R. In: Chala J.
Out: Burbano R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Manta and Delfin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Delfin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Manta
30%
Draws
37%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Manta haven't matched Delfin's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Manta Clean Sheet 19%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Delfin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Delfin
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Manta
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Manta
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Delfin
2:2
Feb 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Delfin vs Manta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayunta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 32 / 100
Delfin 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delfin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Manta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Manta's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Delfin
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

Delfin

(Away)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)