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Maracana vs Tirol

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes 2025 Estádio Almir Dutra, Maracanaú
Our Tip

Match Events

67'
Dinde
67'
Dinde
71' Event
Jailson

AI Match Summary

Maracana in this Copa Fares Lopes 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Maracana
30%
Draws
31%
Tirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maracana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Maracana have won more games recently than Tirol.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Maracana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tirol, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Maracana Clean Sheet 68%
Tirol Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracana Tirol
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Cearense
Tirol vs Maracana
0:2
Dec 5, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Maracana vs Tirol
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Maracana vs Tirol
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Cearense
Maracana vs Tirol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maracana Compare

Top Goalscorer Jailson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tirol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracana 41 / 100
Tirol 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracana Tirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maracana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maracana scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Tirol has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Maracana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maracana VS Tirol
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracana

(Home)
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Parnahyba
0 : 1
Maracana
Page 1 of 7

Tirol

(Away)
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Tirol
0 : 0
Ferroviario
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
16 May
Tirol
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
09 May
Tirol
1 : 0
AE Altos
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fortaleza B -
TBD -
Tirol 3
Ferroviario 2
Ceara B -
TBD -
Itapipoca 0
Maracana 1
Semi-finals
Fortaleza B 1
Tirol 2
Ceara B 1
Maracana 2
Final
Tirol 1
Maracana 2