Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maracena vs Almeria B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gomez A. T.
55' Event
Martinez I.
64' Event
Lara L.

AI Match Summary

Maracena in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maracena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Maracena
30%
Draws
35%
Almeria B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Almeria B at 0.93 per game, Maracena at 0.84.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maracena Clean Sheet 20%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracena Almeria B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.84 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Almeria B
3:1
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Maracena
2:0
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Maracena
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Almeria B
0:3
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Maracena
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maracena Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Almeria B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lara L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracena 32 / 100
Almeria B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracena Almeria B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almeria B has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Maracena found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Maracena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maracena VS Almeria B
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracena

(Home)
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5
Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0
Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1
Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Motril
1 : 1
Maracena
Page 1 of 7

Almeria B

(Away)
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0
Almeria B
26 Apr
Almeria B
3 : 4
Deportiva Minera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)