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Marchamalo vs Guadalajara Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Marchamalo
30%
Draws
23%
Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marchamalo lately — more wins on the board than Guadalajara.
  • Marchamalo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo Guadalajara
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
0:0
Aug 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
2:3
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Guadalajara vs Marchamalo
2:3
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 58 / 100
Guadalajara 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Marchamalo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Marchamalo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS Guadalajara
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marchamalo

(Home)
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
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Guadalajara

(Away)
03 Oct
Guadalajara
3 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
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