Sport Picks
Marchamalo vs UD Talavera
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marchamalo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Marchamalo have won more games recently than UD Talavera.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Marchamalo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 20%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marchamalo | UD Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 44 | 34 |
| Wins | 26 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.95 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs UD Talavera
6:1
Aug 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Marchamalo
1:1
Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs UD Talavera
1:1
Oct 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Marchamalo
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marchamalo 85 / 100
UD Talavera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marchamalo UD Talavera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marchamalo found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (44 games).
UD Talavera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Marchamalo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Marchamalo VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marchamalo
(Home) 20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0 Guadalajara
Page 1 of 9
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0 Guadalajara
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4 Azuqueca
Page 1 of 5
UD Talavera
(Away) 20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2 UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3 Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
Page 1 of 7
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
14 Apr
Manzanares
0 : 1 UD Talavera
31 Mar
CF Talavera
0 : 0 UD Talavera
17 Mar
Conquense
3 : 1 UD Talavera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 67:26 | 86 |
| 2 | UD Almansa | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:26 | 67 |
| 3 | Azuqueca | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:39 | 67 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 60:25 | 67 |
| 5 | Illescas | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 54:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 7 | Alcazar | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 50:34 | 64 |
| 8 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57:60 | 54 |
| 9 | Madridejos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 50:49 | 53 |
| 10 | Marchamalo | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 50:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Torrijos | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42:59 | 45 |
| 12 | Manzanares | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 46:51 | 44 |
| 13 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 37:48 | 44 |
| 14 | UD Talavera | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 40:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Atletico Ibanes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 35:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Socuellamos | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:58 | 40 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 43:57 | 40 |
| 18 | La Gineta | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 41:63 | 39 |
| 19 | CD Carranque | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 23:63 | 30 |
| 20 | Puertollano B | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 38:78 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
